Calamity
HighSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 51

Severe Weather in United States

CarolineUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 23:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 9th strongest of the 267 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 11 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Watch issued March 16 at 3:29PM EDT until March 16 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA

An estimated 56,020 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 11 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 51 out of 100, at 78 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)51 / 100
Our confidence78%
Coordinates39.0000, -75.8667
Nearest CityEaston (32 km)
Population Exposed56.0K within 50 km
Impact Tiersevere
Timestamp2026-03-16T19:29:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.75d5bedfbbe4473f561ad6eaa42e3266

Score Breakdown

65
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Watch
UrgencyFuture
CertaintyPossible
AreaDescDorchester, MD; Somerset, MD; Wicomico, MD; Worcester, MD; Bertie, NC; Camden, NC; Chowan, NC; Currituck, NC; Gates, NC; Hertford, NC; Northampton, NC; Pasquotank, NC; Perquimans, NC; Accomack, VA; Charles City, VA; Essex, VA; Gloucester, VA; Greensville, VA; Isle of Wight, VA; James City, VA; King and Queen, VA; King William, VA; Lancaster, VA; Mathews, VA; Middlesex, VA; New Kent, VA; Northampton, VA; Northumberland, VA; Prince George, VA; Richmond, VA; Southampton, VA; Surry, VA; Sussex, VA; Westmoreland, VA; York, VA; City of Chesapeake, VA; City of Colonial Heights, VA; City of Emporia, VA; City of Franklin, VA; City of Hampton, VA; City of Hopewell, VA; City of Newport News, VA; City of Norfolk, VA; City of Petersburg, VA; City of Poquoson, VA; City of Portsmouth, VA; City of Suffolk, VA; City of Virginia Beach, VA; City of Williamsburg, VA; Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE; Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE; Kent, DE; New Castle, DE; Sussex, DE; Caroline, MD; Kent, MD; Queen Anne's, MD; Talbot, MD; Atlantic, NJ; Burlington, NJ; Camden, NJ; Cape May, NJ; Cumberland, NJ; Gloucester, NJ; Hunterdon, NJ; Mercer, NJ; Middlesex, NJ; Monmouth, NJ; Morris, NJ; Ocean, NJ; Salem, NJ; Somerset, NJ; Sussex, NJ; Warren, NJ; Berks, PA; Bucks, PA; Carbon, PA; Chester, PA; Delaware, PA; Lehigh, PA; Monroe, PA; Montgomery, PA; Northampton, PA; Philadelphia, PA
HeadlineTornado Watch issued March 16 at 3:29PM EDT until March 16 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
Expires2026-03-16T19:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Wakefield VA
HasExactCoordsfalse
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.75d5bedfbbe4473f561ad6eaa42e32664cab2f2b.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.45cea4756b9fe19eaeddbfc5b1dd457cfb1b7020.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.45cea4756b9fe19eaeddbfc5b1dd457cfb1b7020.001.1"]

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 51/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.